Changing body composition comes down to energy balance: a modest surplus to build muscle, a deficit to lose fat. This calculator turns your maintenance level into a concrete daily target and estimates how fast your weight should move.
How it works
The target is your maintenance energy expenditure plus or minus a goal-based adjustment, and weekly change follows the energy-balance rule:
TDEE = entered, or bodyweight(kg) × 33 × activity factor
target = TDEE + adjustment
lean bulk adjustment = +250 kcal
cut adjustment = −450 kcal
maintenance adjustment = 0
weekly change = (adjustment × 7) / 7700 kg per week
Roughly 7,700 kcal corresponds to one kilogram of body mass, which is why a small daily adjustment translates into a slow, sustainable weekly rate.
Why surplus size matters more than most lifters realise
The common mistake in a lean bulk is setting too large a surplus. A 500 kcal/day surplus sounds reasonable but at 7,700 kcal per kilogram that adds roughly 0.45 kg per week — and a trained lifter can only synthesise perhaps 0.1–0.25 kg of muscle per week under ideal conditions. The rest of the surplus goes to fat. A 250 kcal surplus (about 0.23 kg/week) more closely matches the realistic rate of muscle gain for most trained individuals, meaning a greater proportion of the weight change is lean mass.
Beginners can gain muscle faster, which is why larger surpluses are sometimes recommended early in training — but even then, the ceiling is not as high as many assume.
Cutting: the muscle-preservation balance
On a deficit, the goal is to lose fat while retaining as much muscle as possible. Two variables protect muscle during a cut:
- High protein. Research consistently shows that protein intakes toward the upper range (1.8–2.4 g/kg) help spare lean mass during calorie restriction. The macro calculator tool can help set protein within your calorie target.
- Training stimulus. Continued resistance training signals the body to maintain muscle even in a deficit. Removing training while cutting is a reliable way to lose more muscle.
A deficit of around 400–500 kcal/day typically produces weight loss without the muscle loss seen in more aggressive deficits. Below 1,200–1,400 kcal/day for most adults, the deficit becomes hard to sustain and risks performance and health.
What the scale does not tell you
Several factors move the scale that have nothing to do with fat or muscle:
- Glycogen. Reducing carbohydrates depletes muscle glycogen, each gram of which is stored with about 3–4 g of water. Switching to a high-protein, low-carb diet can cause a rapid 1–3 kg drop in scale weight from glycogen/water loss, not fat loss.
- Sodium. High-sodium meals cause water retention; low-sodium days reduce it. Day-to-day variation of 0.5–1.5 kg from sodium alone is common.
- Hormonal cycles. For women, weight can fluctuate by 1–3 kg across the menstrual cycle due to water retention.
Judge progress by a three-to-four-week trend line, not individual readings.
Worked example
A 2,800 kcal TDEE athlete:
| Goal | Daily target | Weekly change estimate |
|---|---|---|
| Lean bulk | 3,050 kcal | +0.23 kg/week |
| Maintenance | 2,800 kcal | 0 kg/week |
| Cut | 2,350 kcal | −0.41 kg/week |
Keep protein high in both surplus and deficit phases, and reassess intake every four weeks as bodyweight changes.